0x15a7209b6451543b9ff816bea4c1ebf06a81100a
0x15a7209b6451543b9ff816bea4c1ebf06a81100a
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.13
Total PnL
$-46.86
Realised
$-20.48
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$1.36
$0.23
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.24
$0.20
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.53
$0.01
- YES
Will Harris English win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Steven Fisk win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$0.47Apr 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.52Apr 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$3.65Apr 9, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Fisk win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Davis Riley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris English win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Cavaliers$0.00Apr 9, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Fisk win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Davis Riley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris English win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 9, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Cavaliers$3.92Apr 9, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 9, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 8, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Fisk win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 8, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Davis Riley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 8, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris English win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$4.98Apr 8, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Apr 8, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".