Unwitting-Population-Interest
0x15a94b19f0ecb4ebd048b35b99e677df591d3c53
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.23
Total PnL
$-147.04
Realised
$15.13
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
1059 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-22.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
1003 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-38.16
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 29?$1.05Apr 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 29?$1.05Apr 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 29?$1.05Apr 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 29?$1.05Apr 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?$1.05Apr 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 29?$1.05Apr 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?$1.04Apr 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?$1.05Apr 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.07Apr 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?$1.07Apr 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?$1.07Apr 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$1.07Apr 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?$1.07Apr 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.04Apr 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$1.04Apr 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$1.04Apr 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?$1.04Apr 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.50Apr 28, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.