Deadly-Shrimp
0x15a9e3a45c92bd0b44402423a5724fb506325289
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 12?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 13?
680 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?
580 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 21?
580 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 12?
560 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 12?
559 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 21?
537 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on February 28?
475 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 21?
405 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $800 in June?$132.26Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $800 in June?$132.02Jun 27, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at >$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$132.18Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at >$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$132.00Jun 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?$132.35Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?$132.00Jun 12, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.42Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$14.18Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$14.78Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$90.76Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$90.58May 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$6.91May 31, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)$7.79May 31, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$89.71May 31, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$89.37May 30, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$88.89May 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$89.01May 30, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)$6.81May 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.40May 30, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on May 28?$13.41May 30, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $96.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.