Immaterial-Confectionery
0x15b8739bac77b08bb5a79f9687a3fe33672350b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-34.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
2722 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-669.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
2152 shares @ 92.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?
1325 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-643.56
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In
1191 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?
921 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-317.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
892 shares @ 91.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-816.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 5?
870 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-227.23
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
774 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-744.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?
676 shares @ 91.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-620.99
- NO
Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8)
668 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-428.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$94.16May 11, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$15.22May 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$14.76May 9, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$14.76May 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$14.76May 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$11.92May 9, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$70.00May 9, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$69.72Apr 11, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$78.87Apr 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$65.52Apr 10, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$65.52Apr 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$60.01Apr 10, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$60.01Apr 10, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$40.21Apr 2, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$40.21Apr 2, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$33.92Mar 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$34.06Mar 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$153.51Mar 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$155.35Mar 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$258.53Mar 11, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $87.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".