New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Probability
61¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.5pp
24h Vol
$802.97
Liquidity
$43.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 61¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2323h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2323.0h
- 17:02SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2323h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 61¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 61¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 61¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 61¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 61¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 61¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 60¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 65¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 65¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 66¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 66¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jul 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
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