Cluttered-Resort
0x15c99780e8cdae0be13334dd99199c763ca6a939
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-397.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kraken IPO in 2025?
2675 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
682 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
156 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-82.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$5.36May 2, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$103.41Apr 30, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?$10.71Apr 30, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$0.00Nov 21, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 20?$523.45Nov 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 20?$516.24Nov 20, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$300.00Nov 20, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$15.03Nov 20, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$200.00Nov 19, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$10.00Nov 19, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 19?$1.0KNov 19, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 19?$970.28Nov 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$231.93Nov 19, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$82.75Nov 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$100.00Nov 18, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?$306.45Nov 17, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17?$613.68Nov 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17?$583.00Nov 17, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?$200.00Nov 17, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?$172.65Nov 17, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $213.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.