Elderly-Bower
0x15d05d1385eb919bc901e084b9580417fd941b47
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$24.16
Total PnL
$-153.37
Realised
$4.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
24 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.16
$4.59
- YES
Will Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
399 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
379 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
268 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
166 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
129 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CANUCKS
Sharks vs. Canucks
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$19.72May 20, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$40.99May 14, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.00Mar 31, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$7.35Feb 18, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.00Feb 9, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?$9.98Feb 9, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$6.00Feb 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Patriots$67.88Feb 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.00Feb 9, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$5.00Feb 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$8.24Feb 9, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$2.00Feb 9, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$5.00Feb 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$3.00Feb 9, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?$3.00Feb 9, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$2.00Feb 9, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$5.00Feb 9, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $12.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.