Dependable-Office
0x15f3123dc79f9501bcc165b296f82d8cad33706e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$561.22
Total PnL
$-3.72
Realised
$-3.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
522 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$396.60
$135.47
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
522 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$125.61
$-135.52
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C on May 15?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.88
$-0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on May 15?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.88
$-0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on May 15?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.68
$-0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 15?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.59
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on May 15?$9.90May 15, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on May 15?$9.70May 15, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C on May 15?$9.90May 15, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 15?$9.60May 15, 02:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$31.40May 15, 02:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 10, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 63°F or below on May 9?$1.10May 9, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on May 9?$1.30May 9, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 9?$2.00May 9, 08:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 9, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 15°C or below on May 9?$1.00May 8, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on May 9?$1.30May 8, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 15°C or below on May 9?$1.00May 8, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 63°F or below on May 9?$1.10May 8, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 9?$2.00May 8, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $14.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".