0x15f5ec29e70e597e565aa71c98daea6297e17001
0x15f5ec29e70e597e565aa71c98daea6297e17001
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$211.16
Total PnL
$-150.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 12?
211 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$211.16
$3.17
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET
151 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?
149 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
119 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?
119 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- NO
CZ mindshare all time high by March 31?
112 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-110.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 31?
110 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.30 March 16-22?
85 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 31?
77 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 31?
76 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 12?$207.99Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 11?$223.28Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 11?$221.49Jul 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?$5.82Jun 3, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$227.20Jun 1, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$222.20May 30, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$224.05May 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$0.30May 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$220.17May 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$1.43May 9, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 15?$34.42May 9, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$160.77Apr 30, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$158.68Apr 25, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$191.34Apr 20, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 15?$32.94Apr 16, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$0.05Apr 15, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$0.38Apr 15, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$188.81Apr 15, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$2.09Apr 12, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 24, 4AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $81.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.