Worthless-Structure
0x161cf774ac34ecba2add917baf950608a4ffa9db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 15–20%?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Over $30M committed to the Makina public sale?
444 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
441 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$85.38Jul 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$112.34Jul 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$10.33Jul 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$10.15Jul 16, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$130.33Jun 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$169.93Jun 17, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$18.08Jun 17, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$21.66Jun 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$2.13May 8, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$202.02May 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$200.14May 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$5.33May 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$257.89May 4, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$154.64May 4, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$0.00Apr 27, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$10.00Apr 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$176.25Apr 24, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$152.98Apr 24, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?$10.00Apr 21, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?$9.00Apr 6, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $90.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.