Angry-Antelope
0x162f03532838f803a3845b70818926c940719309
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$601.57
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$147.63
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30884 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$478.71
$-21.28
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
340 shares @ 14.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$38.30
$-11.70
- YES
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?
136 shares @ 22.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.77
$4.77
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$20.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
850 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$19.56
$-0.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
7895 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
7867 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-34.99
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
6024 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-675.66
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
5000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.17Aug 15, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.29Aug 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$26.00Aug 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$26.45Aug 15, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.26Aug 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$25.86Aug 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$96.00Aug 15, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$26.31Aug 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$25.91Aug 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.60Aug 15, 20:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $27.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.