Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$1.37

Total PnL

$-772.48

Realised

$19.52

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 31

YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
196 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$1.37
$-33.63
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
1981 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
1283 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026
$0.00
$-3.33
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
1097 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026
$0.00
$-17.33
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
450 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026
$0.00
$-4.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026
$0.00
$-9.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
311 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026
$0.00
$-61.41
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
287 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026
$0.00
$-20.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
283 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026
$0.00
$-17.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
277 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026
$0.00
$-52.60

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$5.35May 13, 15:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$8.34May 13, 14:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$22.69May 13, 14:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$22.62May 13, 14:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$3.74May 13, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$18.07May 13, 14:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$7.80May 13, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$8.02May 13, 14:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00May 13, 14:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$40.00May 13, 14:26 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00May 13, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$22.69May 13, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.55May 13, 14:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$8.39May 13, 14:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$29.46May 13, 14:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$17.76May 13, 14:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00May 13, 14:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$17.76May 13, 14:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$20.00May 13, 14:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$6.70May 13, 14:08 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry32 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk74 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $13.36
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 13, 13:31 UTC
Last active: May 13, 15:01 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 10:14:56 UTC·src:Polymarket Data