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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Probability

39¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$158.92

Liquidity

$25.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5991.4h

    LOW
  • 08:34Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 3.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover.

    LOW
  • 08:34Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5991h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:34Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

12
Same eventHow long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2Ambiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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