Starchy-Drudgery
0x164842ccb45ef1e06ffd74a1c6dba93e84cca676
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$23.36
Realised
$-0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
806 shares @ 87.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$713.07
$8.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
729 shares @ 75.6¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$619.49
$68.16
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
600 shares @ 87.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$567.00
$42.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
500 shares @ 57.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$417.50
$132.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
463 shares @ 84.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.72
$15.35
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
434 shares @ 72.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$392.49
$77.97
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$243.00
$-57.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
385 shares @ 52.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$236.54
$36.54
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 69.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$194.05
$-85.22
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
284 shares @ 88.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$188.92
$-61.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$91.55Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$60.54Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$6.69Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$13.38Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$22.73Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$32.46Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$10.00Jun 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$40.00Jun 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$10.00Jun 12, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$22.24Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$91.32Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$29.28Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$269.03Jun 12, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.00Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 15?$0.00Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $75.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.