0x16538ddf069090e936840aeca3283e1d7a2624b0
0x16538ddf069090e936840aeca3283e1d7a2624b0
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$631.74
Total PnL
$67.90
Realised
$33.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
245 shares @ 81.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$226.64
$27.64
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
221 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$209.29
$10.28
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$98.61
$-0.89
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
153 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$97.20
$-2.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$165.8312h ago
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$100.782d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$100.692d ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?$157.772d ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?$140.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$101.472d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?$101.112d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?$100.372d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?$100.602d ago
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$0.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$100.605d ago
- REDEEMWill Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?$0.008d ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?$122.708d ago
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?$174.388d ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$95.108d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$100.108d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?$100.968d ago
- REDEEMWill CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$0.008d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $120.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
