0x166cb937656dfd6869757f2d466cfac20446fcbb
0x166cb937656dfd6869757f2d466cfac20446fcbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$60.20
Total PnL
$2.67
Realised
$2.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
38 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.02
$0.38
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.21
$0.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.2¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$5.00
$0.14
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.95
$-0.04
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.94
$-0.00
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.89
$-0.07
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 15.9¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.79
$-0.05
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?
3 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.27
$0.03
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?
2 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?$0.36Jun 2, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?$0.12Jun 2, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?$4.99Jun 2, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?$0.62Jun 2, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?$6.62Jun 2, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?$4.99Jun 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$10.00Jun 2, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.16Jun 1, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$5.27Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.16Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$9.84Jun 1, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$5.01Jun 1, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 1, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.83Jun 1, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.99Jun 1, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$6.20May 31, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$5.00May 31, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00May 31, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.01May 31, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.15May 31, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".