Crazy-Walk-Recording
0x16715b4851df58daffc9f4d9a5d039d663812f6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$403.28
Total PnL
$-112.38
Realised
$-3.76
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
552 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.12
$-2.76
- YES
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
84 shares @ 58.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.21
$9.71
- YES
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$27.50
$-7.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
30 shares @ 84.4¢·now 90.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$27.23
$1.91
- YES
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 49.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.98
$3.75
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 71.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$19.81
$-2.69
- YES
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 45.5¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.40
$-2.24
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$15.75
$0.15
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
26 shares @ 59.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.18
$-2.22
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$10.90
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$15.60Jun 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Scoreless Team?$6.64Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Scoreless Team?$5.00Jun 14, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$26.80Jun 14, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$24.74Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$15.09Jun 14, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.55Jun 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.27Jun 13, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.27Jun 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.60Jun 13, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$4.50Jun 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.43Jun 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.75Jun 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$4.50Jun 13, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.30Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$2.25Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$9.75Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$25.32Jun 13, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$15.40Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.