0x168e7984643d68f67a99ecf4f8c0f4d2d1fab2ae
0x168e7984643d68f67a99ecf4f8c0f4d2d1fab2ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$61.41
Total PnL
$-24.22
Realised
$-16.79
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?
110 shares @ 53.2¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.73
$-5.71
- NO
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
8 shares @ 63.6¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.34
$0.35
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
10 shares @ 51.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.35
$-2.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?$0.81Jul 21, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$1.01Jul 21, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?$1.02Jul 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?$58.75Jul 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$2.01Jul 16, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00Jul 8, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00Jul 1, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$4.00Jul 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.05Jul 1, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.02Jul 1, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$7.20Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$10.21Jul 1, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$0.75Jun 23, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$1.02Jun 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$1.61Jun 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$8.95Jun 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?$1.03Jun 10, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$2.03Jun 10, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 1, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$18.46Apr 28, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.