0x169b8e2a1d5a3e9d840a08074a090afa82a730c9
0x169b8e2a1d5a3e9d840a08074a090afa82a730c9
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-16.47
Realised
$-105.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
670 shares @ 85.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$669.00
$96.10
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
530 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$528.14
$4.53
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
490 shares @ 92.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$443.45
$-11.05
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
770 shares @ 21.2¢·now 21.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$163.58
$0.41
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on May 8, 2026?
70 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 9, 2026$68.14
$0.24
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$32.80
$-0.40
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
350 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.22
$-0.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$200.002h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$55.2012h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$55.2012h ago
- YIELD$0.0116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$17.681d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$44.211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$33.431d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$36.141d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$186.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on May 8, 2026?$67.981d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$81.321d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.991d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$158.101d ago
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$160.301d ago
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.3K1d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.024d ago
- YIELD$0.025d ago
- YIELD$0.026d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $49.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".