Academic-Luck
0x16b3b9b89f5aa53c990af41a5160ccc9486c780e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$107.69
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
27 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$26.51
$0.11
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$24.62
$0.05
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
22 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$22.17
$0.07
- NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.95
$0.07
- NO
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.45
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$24.57Apr 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?$22.10Apr 28, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$11.07Apr 28, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 27?$22.94Apr 28, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$12.40Apr 27, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?$19.07Apr 27, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$21.88Apr 27, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$11.00Apr 26, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$26.40Apr 26, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?$19.00Apr 25, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 25?$11.02Apr 25, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?$39.08Apr 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 27?$22.90Apr 25, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?$28.08Apr 25, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?$28.00Apr 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 25?$11.00Apr 24, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?$38.90Apr 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 23?$18.08Apr 23, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 23?$18.00Apr 23, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 22?$20.11Apr 23, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $20.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.