Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-8.5pp
24h Vol
$406.1K
Liquidity
$160.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-26.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 18:06SignalHIGH
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.4pp
to 0¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 0¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.4pp
to 0¢
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 4¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 1¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 2¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 3¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 3¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 8¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 7¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYREAL MADRID CF4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYBETBOOM TEAM4m ago
- BUYNO4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- Resolution source
- —
- UMA status
- proposed
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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