Ordinary-Disguise
0x16ba68a4ddf737f0253b9a5bcff4dc3a43fe099b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?
385 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2024?
154 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?$16.00Dec 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?$5.00Dec 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$20.43Dec 16, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+$0.00Dec 16, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.00Dec 16, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$0.00Dec 16, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. wins a state?$0.00Dec 16, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$0.00Dec 16, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$2.00Nov 7, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?$0.00Nov 7, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$0.00Nov 7, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMJoe Biden impeached before 2024 election?$0.00Nov 7, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEM3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.00Nov 7, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to house arrest?$0.00Nov 7, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2024?$5.00Oct 20, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. wins a state?$5.00Oct 20, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to house arrest?$5.00Oct 20, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoe Biden impeached before 2024 election?$5.00Oct 20, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?$5.00Oct 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$5.00Oct 20, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".