Best-Surplus
0x16bd8ca8ad1be9e9fbc2bb563698be83aca3c286
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$13.64
Total PnL
$-0.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11PM ET
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.60
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?$2.60May 22, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.78Mar 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KMar 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KMar 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$80.11Mar 20, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$948.45Mar 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0KMar 20, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11PM ET$6.00Mar 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$366.54Mar 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$706.26Mar 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KMar 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$469.06Mar 20, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$598.80Mar 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.1KMar 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?$223.70Mar 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?$820.00Mar 20, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.0KMar 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $553.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".