Extra-Small-Deck
0x16c4260b6c0b4b96f28563d45626b620864ff458
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$22.26
Total PnL
$-19.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
13 shares @ 61.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.58
$-1.42
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?$1.11Feb 24, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.09Feb 21, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.04Feb 11, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.05Feb 11, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00Feb 6, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$1.11Feb 6, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$1.00Feb 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 1, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.04Feb 1, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.04Feb 1, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?$1.19Feb 1, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.41Feb 1, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$1.45Jan 23, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.