Downright-Goddess
0x16da1dfba37b7b8f3b313924e327131b84b805c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-99.97
Realised
$102.47
Win rate
96%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
2601 shares @ 14.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$403.20
$27.81
- NO
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
343 shares @ 95.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$310.21
$-17.66
- NO
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
315 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$301.44
$6.18
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
3000 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.52
$12.19
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1112 shares @ 13.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$150.18
$1.22
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
205 shares @ 72.2¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$148.63
$0.62
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
9416 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$145.95
$-3.66
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
2356 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$130.74
$15.93
- NO
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
143 shares @ 91.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.41
$-1.26
- YES
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
426 shares @ 26.5¢·now 22.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.06
$-16.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$22.10May 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.47May 30, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.30May 30, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06May 30, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.30May 30, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$6.14May 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$4.25May 30, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.82May 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 30, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.30May 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 30, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 30, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".