Unruly-Dig
0x16efc6cabd093d5d9197fcd98c120472cfa22ffa
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-3.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
13 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
2 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 30, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$0.02Jan 30, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.24Jan 21, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia announce a Christmas truce?$1.02Jan 7, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia announce a Christmas truce?$1.00Jan 6, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.00Jan 4, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$1.00Jan 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$1.00Jan 3, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.