Amazing-Carnation
0x16f116e76a2b21e389aa7f36c2392d3693eb8dc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$78.11
Total PnL
$-35.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$11.91
$1.91
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.52
$5.52
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$6.94
$1.94
- YES
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$6.58
$1.58
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
5 shares @ 18.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$5.29
$4.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 11?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$4.44
$2.44
- YES
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$3.70
$1.70
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
41 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.61
$-4.39
- YES
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$2.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$0.00Jan 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?$1.00Jan 22, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?$1.00Jan 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$1.00Jan 22, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$3.00Jan 22, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$1.00Jan 10, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$2.00Jan 10, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$2.00Jan 10, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?$1.00Jan 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?$1.00Jan 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$1.00Jan 10, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".