EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Probability

63¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$1.3K

Liquidity

$46.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+13.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:05

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 5987.9h
LOW
12:05Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5988h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 8.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 12.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventHighest grossing movie in 2026?

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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