0x16f31f9d8d0a71f372dc5d897f67bba6c75edda5
0x16f31f9d8d0a71f372dc5d897f67bba6c75edda5
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$75.51
Total PnL
$-6.50
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
43 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.71
$1.71
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
4 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.09
$0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 16-22?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.00?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $80?$1.00Feb 20, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $670-$680 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on February 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 16 above $315?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $136-$138 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $415-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$1.00Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.00?$1.00Feb 20, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 February 16-22?$1.00Feb 20, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".