Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

1. 1

   Up 1pp over 24h

   Now 4¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 441h with open resolution ambiguity.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.