Real-Heating
0x16fc465c238442e6a0dbcb696268b2a4d8183443
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$18.21
Total PnL
$-195.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$14.20Jul 9, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$24.47Jul 9, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$23.06Jun 11, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 11, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$223.16Jun 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$212.00Jun 2, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$141.53Jun 2, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00Jun 2, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$70.85Jun 2, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$56.56May 30, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$26.58May 30, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$21.00May 23, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$131.02May 23, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$35.54May 23, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$29.83May 23, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 18?$115.91May 23, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$102.00May 15, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$19.28May 15, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$10.29May 15, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill "So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$13.96May 15, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $43.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 10:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.