Automatic-Plantation
0x172dd121e13fe79741fd519ddcf72ad157e0f864
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$732.12
Total PnL
$-859.57
Realised
$-15.05
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
199 shares @ 50.3¢·now 59.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.67
$17.67
- YES
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$104.05
$4.05
- ANTHROPIC
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$101.98
$1.98
- YES
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
127 shares @ 70.5¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.75
$-1.92
- YES
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
244 shares @ 41.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$81.58
$-18.42
- YES
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?
138 shares @ 72.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$66.39
$-33.61
- YES
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$56.15
$-43.85
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
119 shares @ 84.4¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$48.59
$-51.41
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
168 shares @ 31.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.98
$-15.07
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.97
$-3.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$53.49Aug 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?$53.39Aug 12, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?$65.78Aug 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?$103.15Aug 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$169.22Aug 7, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$18.93Aug 3, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$101.68Aug 3, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$120.62Aug 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$76.20Aug 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$76.12Aug 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?$90.74Aug 1, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?$100.00Aug 1, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?$100.00Aug 1, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$100.00Aug 1, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$102.95Aug 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026$101.08Aug 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?$100.00Aug 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$100.88Aug 1, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$179.30Aug 1, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$142.26Aug 1, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $91.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.