Live-Instrument
0x174d5409dc8ff0b0a397fb0d0a5dcf41ea76bcf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$253.77
Total PnL
$-183.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$250.00
$230.00
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
628 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.77
$-83.23
- YES
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
2953 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
1437 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1430 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
512 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$240.00Mar 9, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$0.00Mar 9, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$20.00Mar 9, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon in March?$20.00Mar 9, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$20.00Mar 7, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$50.66Mar 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 7, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$87.00Mar 7, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $69.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.