0x1755a3a2ff58627b72d48d6c8d75eb1052506ae6
0x1755a3a2ff58627b72d48d6c8d75eb1052506ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.99
Total PnL
$-16.84
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$4.99
$2.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 54°F or higher on February 21?
207 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 21?
147 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 22?
36 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 22?
11 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on February 24?
5 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 23?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on February 24?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Mar 3, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Mar 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.01Mar 3, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Feb 27, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.94Feb 25, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.06Feb 25, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.45Feb 25, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.45Feb 25, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$2.45Feb 25, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.97Feb 25, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$6.22Feb 25, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.11Feb 25, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3.99Feb 25, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.32Feb 25, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$7.61Feb 25, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.34Feb 25, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.20Feb 25, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$3.47Feb 25, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$4.93Feb 25, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.