Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?
Probability
20¢
1h
+6.6pp
24h
+10.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$450.51
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14748.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14748h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.4pp
to 12¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 16¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 13¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 22¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.8pp
to 27¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.7pp
to 16¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 11¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 12¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.2pp
to 28¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 22¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.6pp
to 12¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 14¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.8pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.2pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
7- 4¢-0.4pp
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 47¢-6.5pp
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 4¢-0.1pp
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+1.7pp
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 10¢+0.1pp
Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 4¢+0.1pp
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 16¢+2.5pp
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (37.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).