0x176a704fb6baa880e6f363a6706c4e70918dec19
0x176a704fb6baa880e6f363a6706c4e70918dec19
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$32.02
Total PnL
$-13.03
Realised
$-2.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.39
$1.39
- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.28
$0.28
- YES
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.83
$-1.17
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.53
$0.53
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.33
$0.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- YES
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 70.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.57
$-1.39
- YES
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.56
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 12, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$1.02Jun 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$1.02Jun 12, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.10Jun 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 12, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.43Jun 12, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.02Jun 11, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$1.02Jun 11, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$1.01Jun 10, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$1.02Jun 10, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.01Jun 10, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$1.01Jun 10, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 10, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 10, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 10, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09?$1.04Jun 9, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.09May 4, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$3.14May 4, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.