Posh-Arm
0x178b50f6092ae7af394df5fc719ab029421ca8ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
3214 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-49.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?
1625 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during Macon, GA rally?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Macon, GA rally?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "Black men" during Fox News interview?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.9KNov 6, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$253.54Nov 6, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Macon, GA rally?$31.04Nov 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Macon, GA rally?$1.00Nov 3, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during Macon, GA rally?$15.00Nov 3, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Macon, GA rally?$10.00Nov 3, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$3.43Oct 24, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$20.07Oct 23, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Black men" during Fox News interview? $5.00Oct 16, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during all female town hall?$0.00Oct 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$40.00Oct 16, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$4.70Oct 16, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$5.00Oct 16, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Defund the police" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.00Oct 16, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.00Oct 16, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.00Oct 16, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "inflation" 5 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.00Oct 16, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.00Oct 16, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.00Oct 16, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$11.36Oct 16, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $70.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".