Apprehensive-Consumer
0x179e4382401d43d0b19234d16ad1623c9b1b2fe3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$60.20
Total PnL
$-93.55
Realised
$-62.30
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will London have between 15-20mm of precipitation in May?
8 shares @ 59.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.56
$-1.44
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May?
7 shares @ 76.5¢·now 46.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.04
$-1.96
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?
14 shares @ 72.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.98
$-7.02
- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?
12 shares @ 20.2¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.80
$0.40
- YES
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in May?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.56
$-2.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.48May 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.03May 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.01May 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$2.00May 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$2.01May 18, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$5.38May 18, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$2.38May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.53May 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.02May 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$5.01May 17, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$2.30May 17, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.19May 17, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$2.02May 17, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$2.70May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.01May 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$2.00May 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$2.01May 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".