Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

1. 1

   Up 4pp over 24h

   Now 23¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Momentum signal firing

   Probability moved up 4.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.