Disguised-Microphone
0x17ae1e3441127f11566f319fcd217f12024d691b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$17.51
Total PnL
$-27.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 42.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-22?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.02Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.43Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$2.00Jun 11, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-10?$1.18Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.01Jun 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-10?$1.00Jun 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$3.09Jun 10, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$2.00Jun 4, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?$2.27Jun 3, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?$2.01Jun 2, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-01?$1.16Jun 2, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-01?$1.00Jun 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.10May 31, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-22?$2.01May 30, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$4.00May 27, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$2.03May 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?$2.03May 25, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-25?$2.02May 25, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?$2.20May 25, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.