Scarce-Regulator
0x17c1715f626f14629f231097969dc0a442951a05
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$2.26
Total PnL
$-1.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by September 30?$3.30Aug 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$3.18Aug 5, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$3.22Jul 28, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$3.49Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$3.44Jun 15, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$1.42Jun 15, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$1.41May 20, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$3.34May 20, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$3.30May 13, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pacto Histórico win 30+ seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$3.52May 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pacto Histórico win 30+ seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$3.52Apr 4, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?$3.52Apr 4, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?$3.50Mar 19, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill StandX launch a token by March 31?$3.51Mar 19, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill StandX launch a token by March 31?$3.57Feb 25, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill William rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$3.57Feb 25, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill William rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$3.58Jan 31, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$3.58Jan 31, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$3.58Jan 10, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 15?$3.58Jan 10, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.