0x17c4c9f34698dbf679ad149556e300faafcbcff3
0x17c4c9f34698dbf679ad149556e300faafcbcff3
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.39
Total PnL
$-3.24
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$20.10
$0.10
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel in March?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st?
4 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.99
$0.05
- NO
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.56
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- YES
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
145 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
26 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$1.02Mar 4, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.34Mar 4, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$1.43Mar 4, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?$2.87Mar 4, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.16Mar 4, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.38Mar 4, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$74.11Mar 4, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$3.03Mar 4, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?$2.33Mar 3, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.02Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.07Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.01Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.02Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.01Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.02Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.02Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.03Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.26Mar 3, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.