Kind-Rations
0x17d8fff6eadb26952b4f0825578609c1a8e2af90
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$551.75
Total PnL
$-141.60
Realised
$-252.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 82.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$300.00
$52.80
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
250 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$250.00
$62.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 47.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TOLEDO
Toledo vs. Bowling
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$36.94Jul 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$249.38Jul 26, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$16.64Jul 26, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$86.25Jul 26, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$0.00Jul 26, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.00Jul 26, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$48.15Jul 26, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$2.12Jul 26, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$472.22Jul 26, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$40.00May 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$300.00May 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$2.00Jan 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Dec 22, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?$2.13Dec 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?$2.00Dec 5, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 15?$1.00Nov 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm in 2025?$2.13Nov 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.84Nov 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.97Nov 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$18.56Nov 17, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $305.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.