Phony-Brunch
0x17e781e5c46f8e770eaae6e751d881dd6c3ae4e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
45000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
22310 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-79.42
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
1709 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-185.09
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
1703 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8AM ET
1311 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?
600 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
576 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4AM ET
455 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-146.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$58.26Jun 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.60Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$40.00Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$21.20Jan 26, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 26, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$40.00Jan 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$0.00Jan 25, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$20.00Jan 24, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$10.00Jan 24, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$30.00Jan 24, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$30.00Jan 24, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Jan 24, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Mexico next?$0.00Jan 19, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$44.32Jan 18, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$44.32Jan 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$21.37Jan 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$44.79Jan 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$46.83Jan 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$4.60Jan 18, 10:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $108.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".