This-Wealth
0x1812aae573f920c9cd8d41a7bfbeb77df2344901
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$16.02
Total PnL
$-657.92
Realised
$35.38
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
22 shares @ 60.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$16.02
$3.02
- YES
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
3263 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-77.75
- YES
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?
1364 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
1263 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1190 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
794 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
461 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.68
- HOOKER
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)
138 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- TALLISON TEIXEIRA
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- FINNEY
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)
107 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$43.48Jul 12, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$20.54Jul 12, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)$57.08Jul 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)$20.39Jul 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$20.79Jul 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$20.77Jul 1, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$15.55Jun 30, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$23.54Jun 25, 03:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$27.40Jun 21, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)$27.78Jun 21, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $19.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.