Expensive-Retrospectivity
0x1815b8fbd80f171e7f1f6bc3a255cb93c1c1e217
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$124.39
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$3.67
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.94
$0.00
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
30 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.30
$0.30
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.63
$-1.37
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.34
$0.34
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
10313 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.57
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
700 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-387.13
- SUNS
Suns vs. Thunder
534 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
521 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$9.52Jun 14, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$8.51Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco?$1.03Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?$1.03Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$4.06Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$4.07Jun 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$25.21Jun 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.07Jun 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.17Jun 12, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$15.25Jun 12, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.00Jun 12, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.51Jun 12, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00Jun 11, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.21Jun 11, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.37Jun 11, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$44.72Jun 11, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.05Jun 11, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.03Jun 11, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.06Jun 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$93.53Jun 11, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $24.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.