SportsExpires Jun 2, 2026
Creator

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Probability

34¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-10.5pp

24h Vol

$48.36

Liquidity

$717.57

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
fifa.com
Link
fifa.com
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 08:00May 5, 2026, 07:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 11pp over 24h

    Now 34¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $718 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 39¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 664.5h

    LOW

Price movement

-10.5pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.

Biggest hourly move: -23.5pp at 2d ago (to 48¢).

Show top 8 of 47 hourly moves
  • 07:27 · -14.0pp → 34¢
  • 06:00 · -12.5pp → 34¢
  • 02:00 · -11.0pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -11.0pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · -23.5pp → 48¢
  • 2d ago · -19.0pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · -15.5pp → 46¢
  • 3d ago · +10.5pp → 46¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same event2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Brazil Squad
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

18 wallets
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