Noted-Mechanic
0x1828cde048b6b3584907ef2bc03236d3c7cd6946
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$98.43
Total PnL
$34.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
47 shares @ 64.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$46.24
$16.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?
38 shares @ 21.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$37.33
$29.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.1¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58 shares @ 8.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 19?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 9.4¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?
53 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 19?$3.13Jun 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?$8.32Jun 18, 04:58 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.72Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.77Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?$4.95Jun 16, 06:43 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.16Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$17.00Jun 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$11.12Jun 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$4.08Jun 15, 17:49 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.18Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $6.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.