Usable-Integral
0x182b71f5cc66aeb92e09d1f999ef2f5a345d43e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.80
Total PnL
$-53.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?
6593 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 7?
4907 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 16?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 7?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 7?
2604 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$1.07Jul 6, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$1.07Jul 6, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?$1.07Jul 6, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.20Jul 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.01Jun 25, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?$1.00Jun 25, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?$1.00Jun 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.03Jun 10, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$2.17Jun 10, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.04May 20, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00May 6, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.03May 6, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.23May 6, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$1.07Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.01Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?$1.02Apr 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.