Emotional-Oats
0x1841cc707fd1056e6d502424896a8729227f05c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$19.64
Total PnL
$-62.19
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 22?
13 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$13.25
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.22
$0.01
- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.18
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 9?
10470 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 19?
4289 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 19?
2202 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 21?
1104 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?
1087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?
1083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 22?$13.20Jul 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$0.01Jul 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$0.01Jul 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$0.01Jul 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$3.21Jul 9, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.18Jul 3, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.13Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17?$2.11Jun 17, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 8?$2.13Jun 8, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.22Jun 2, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.16Jun 2, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.11Jun 2, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$2.11May 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.15May 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$2.14May 21, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?$2.17May 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.35May 6, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.18May 6, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.22May 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 3?$2.12May 3, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $403.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.